The impact of exchange rate uncertainty on international trade has been discussed controversially in economic policy and theory for a long time. The paper surveys the theoretical investigations on this topic. The early modeis which analyse the influence of exchange rate uncertainty on trade,...

In a complete financial market every contingent claim can be hedged perfectly. In an incomplete market it is possible to stay on the safe side by superhedging. But such strategies may require a large amount of initial capital. Here we study the question what an investor can do who is unwilling...

We develop a zero beta industry model of growth options to explain the conflicting empirical findings on the relation between stock returns and idiosyncratic return volatility at the firm level. By allowing for the volatility of the underlying idiosyncratic choice variables to exhibit...

This research is aimed at a formal appraisal of recent advancements in stochastic volatility modeling and extreme-value theory to application of value-at-risk computation in particularly volatile markets. Established methods such as historical simulation are prone to underestimating...

This working paper is written by Jerry Cao (Hang Seng University of Hong Kong), Wenlian Lin (Chinese University of Hong Kong, Shenzhen) and Yong Li (University of International Business and Economics).Market liquidity evaporation is often accompanied by investors’ attention to risks. We...

The main purpose of this study is to empirically examine the relationship between uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility of Nikkei 225 stocks. We conclude that there is a positive relationship between economic policy uncertainty and idiosyncratic volatility. Employing additional uncertainty...

In this note we prove a simple formula to compute the Incremental Volatility, i.e. the change in the portfolio volatility due to the removal of one asset from the portfolio. The common practice adopted in the literature and in the industry is to avoid the full recalculation of the portfolio...

This paper sets up an experimental asset market in the laboratory to investigate the effects of ambiguity on price formation and trading behavior in financial markets. The obtained trading data is used to analyze the effect of ambiguity on various market outcomes (the price level, volatility,...

This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...

This paper introduces the class of volatility modulated Lévy-driven Volterra (VMLV) processes and their important subclass of Lévy semistationary (LSS) processes as a new framework for modelling energy spot prices. The main modelling idea consists of four principles: First, deseasonalised spot...