We develop a model of gross capital flows and analyze their role in global financial stability. In our model, consistent with the data, when a country experiences asset fire sales, foreign investments exit (fickleness) while domestic investments abroad return home (retrenchment). When countries...

This paper investigates the interdependence between the Vietnamese stock market and other influential stock markets in terms of return linkage and volatility transmission covering the period including pre, during and post the 2008 Global Financial Crisis. A VAR model is used to estimate the...

We propose a new Quantity Dual Approach (QDA) to estimate the contribution of nontraded goods to Real Exchange Rate (RER) fluctuations. This method is immune to the bias resulting from the non-inclusion of some goods in CPI calculations and can be applied even in a stringent data environment...

We investigate the hypothesis that macroeconomic fluctuations are primitively the results of many microeconomic shocks, and show that it has significant explanatory power for the evolution of macroeconomic volatility. We define "fundamental" volatility as the volatility that would arise from an...

Alternative estimates for the volatility of pre-depression and post-World War II Canadian business cycles are constructed using various real Canadian GNP series. These estimates all suggest that the latter period was prone to much less cyclical volatility than the pre-depression years. With few...