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The ad hoc Black-Scholes (AHBS) model is one of the most widely used option valuation models among practitioners models. The main contribution of this study is methodological. We have two main results: (1) we make the empirical observation that typically the call and put sneers are discontinuous...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013097543
The paper explains why firms with high dispersion of analyst forecasts earn low future returns. These firms beat the CAPM in periods of increasing aggregate volatility and thereby provide a hedge against aggregate volatility risk. The aggregate volatility risk factor can explain the abnormal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013039417
This paper examines whether financial statement information can predict future realized volatility incremental to the volatility implied by option market prices. Prior research establishes that option-implied volatility is a biased estimator of future realized volatility. I use an analytical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013037345
This study seeks to determine whether earnings announcements pose non-diversifiable volatility risk that commands a risk premium. We find that investors anticipate some earnings announcements to convey news that increases market return volatility and pay a premium to hedge this non-diversifiable...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010205852
According to IFRS 9, an Entity shall assess - by performing a quantitative assessment - the relevance of the modification of the time value of money element, i.e. the modification of the interest that can be observed, e.g. in all the instruments whose underlying interest rate tenors are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012946977
We investigate whether implied volatility comovements reflect the degree to which a firm’s private information is informative about future macroeconomic news. We compute IVC, the comovement of the implied volatilities between the firm and the aggregate market. IVC measures the extent to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013307954
In this paper, we characterize the relative importance of two sources of fundamental market-wide news—large firms’ earnings announcements and macroeconomic releases. Our investigation is motivated by growing concerns in the financial community about the increasing impact of individual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013229392
This paper studies the impact that pre-IPO cash flow volatility has on the initial and long-term value of a publicly traded firm. From the perspective of corporate risk management theory, higher cash flow volatility should reduce value in the form of higher borrowing costs, reduced investment,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960447
In assessing drivers of commodity prices and volatility at this stage of the current super-cycle in commodities (year 12 of a projected 25), it is vital to understand that production cost is a fundamental. Moreover, marginal production costs are among the most powerful drivers of commodity...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013120803
Many electricity markets exhibit an oligopolistic structure with market participants whose individual trading activities may shift prices essentially. In this context, the question of how to optimally liquidate an existing electricity futures portfolio over a fixed time horizon under the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012974469