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We provide a new framework for modeling trends and periodic patterns in high-frequency financial data. Seeking adaptivity to ever-changing market conditions, we enlarge the Fourier flexible form into a richer functional class: both our smooth trend and the seasonality are non-parametrically...
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Time series observed at higher frequencies than monthly frequency display complex seasonal patterns that result from the combination of multiple seasonal patterns (with annual, monthly, weekly and daily periodicities) and varying periods, due to the irregularity of the calendar. The paper deals...
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This paper examines the use of machine learning methods in modeling and forecasting time series with long memory through GARMA. By employing rigorous model selection criteria through simulation study, we find that the hybrid GARMA-LSTM model outperforms traditional approaches in forecasting...
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This study examines the calendar effects in 55 Stock market exchange indices around the globe. The effects which are examined are the turn-of-the-Month effect, day-of-the-Week effect, Month-of the-Year effect and semi-Month effect. The methodology followed is the test hypothesis with bootstrap...
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, Zeitreihenanalyse …
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