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Risk management is an important and helpful process for investors, hedge funds, traders and market makers. One of its key points is the appropriate estimation of risk measures which can improve the investment decisions and trading strategies. The high volatility of cryptocurrencies turns them a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012864228
A risk management strategy is proposed as being robust to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) by selecting a Value-at-Risk (VaR) forecast that combines the forecasts of different VaR models. The robust forecast is based on the median of the point VaR forecasts of a set of conditional volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013137384
real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734
In the literature, there is no consensus as to which Value-at-Risk forecasting model is the best for measuring market risk in banks. In the study an analysis of Value-at-Risk forecasting model quality over varying economic stability periods for main indices from stock exchanges was conducted....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011967246
We define risk spillover as the dependence of a given asset variance on the past covariances and variances of other assets. Building on this idea, we propose the use of a highly flexible and tractable model to forecast the volatility of an international equity portfolio. According to the risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407672
Given the increasing interest in cryptocurrencies shown by investors and researchers, and the importance of the potential loss scenarios resulting from investment/trading activities, this research provides market operators with a dynamic overview on the short-term portfolio tail risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542685
The subprime crisis was quite damaging for hedge funds. Using the local projection method (Jordà 2004, 2005, 2009), we forecast the dynamic responses of the betas of hedge fund strategies to macroeconomic and financial shocks-especially volatility and illiquidity shocks-over the subprime crisis...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013169857
The internal models amendment to the Basel Accord allows banks to use internal models to forecast Value-at-Risk (VaR) thresholds, which are used to calculate the required capital that banks must hold in reserve as a protection against negative changes in the value of their trading portfolios. As...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013149149
Beyond their importance from the regulatory policy point of view, Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) play an important role in risk management, portfolio allocation, capital level requirements, trading systems, and hedging strategies. Unfortunately, due to the curse of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013242339
This study explores the stylized facts, volatility clustering, other highly irregular behaviour, and risk measures of cryptocurrencies' returns. By analysing bitcoin, ripple, and ethereum daily data we establish evidence of strong dependencies among analysed cryptocurrencies. This paper provides...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014420375