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There is limited evidence of intraday predictability both in the cross-section of US stock returns (see Heston et al., 2010) and in the time-series of the aggregate stock market (see Gao et al., 2015). I find that statistical time-series predictability does not imply economic profitability,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964682
We document a striking pattern in U.S.and international stock returns: Double sorting on last month's return and share turnover reveals significant short-term reversal among low-turnover stocks whereas high-turnover stocks exhibit short-term momentum. Short-term momentum is as profitable and as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852591
The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
We study the stock return comovements from two different perspectives, one being trading behaviour-induced return comovements and the other volatility-induced return comovements. Following Baker and Wurglur (2006), we construct an investor sentiment index and examine whether it has relationship...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013073102
We provide empirical evidence that the returns on US equity momentum exhibit a time-varying skewness which deepens during dramatic losses (crashes). As a result, the dynamics of the strategy expected returns reflects the time variation in both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859
I assess the relation between cross-sectional return dispersion in foreign exchange (FX) markets and currency momentum. I find that cross-sectional dispersion is priced in the cross-section of currency momentum returns and that an unexpected increase in cross-sectional dispersion is associated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901550
Background Traditional asset pricing models face challenges from financial anomalies, prompting exploration through behavioural finance theory. This study analyses the nuanced relationship between individual investor sentiment and key stock market variables. Objectives To assess the impact of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015108409
The growing adoption of factor investing simultaneously prompted the active topic of factor timing approaches for the dynamic allocation of multi-factor portfolios. The trend represents a natural development of filling the gap between passive and active management. The paper addresses this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012866947
Motivated by standard portfolio theory, this paper incorporates ex-ante volatility estimates in the construction of winner-minus-loser stock momentum portfolio. I find that over the 1927-2015 period this leads to an increase in the Sharpe ratio from 0.34 to 1.14 and strongly reduced crash risk....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012967193