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Government deficit shocks and Okun's coefficient volatility : new insights on the austerity versus growth debate
Binh Thai Pham; Sala, Hector - 2019
This paper connects two salient economic features: (i) Fiscal shocks have asymmetric effects across business cycle phases (Gechert et al., 2019); (ii) Okun's coefficient is time varying and may be unstable. The intertwined dynamic behavior of fiscal shocks and unemployment-output trade-offs are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012054782
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The vanishing procyclicality of labor productivity
Galí, Jordi; Rens, Thijs van - 2010
We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity has vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage has risen. We propose an explanation for all three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003996447
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The vanishing procyclicality of labor productivity
Galí, Jordi; Rens, Thijs van - 2010
We document three changes in postwar US macroeconomic dynamics: (i) the procyclicality of labor productivity has vanished, (ii) the relative volatility of employment has risen, and (iii) the relative (and absolute) volatility of the real wage has risen. We propose an explanation for all three...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779865
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High discounts and low fundamental surplus : an equivalence result for unemployment fluctuations
Mitra, Indrajit; Seo, Taeuk; Xu, Yu - 2021
Ljungqvist and Sargent (2017) (LS) show that unemployment fluctuations can be understood in terms of a quantity they call the "fundamental surplus." However, their analysis ignores risk premia, a force that Hall (2017) shows is important in understanding unemployment fluctuations. We show how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012649569
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Long live the vacancy
Häfke, Christian; Reiter, Michael - 2020
We reassess the role of vacancies in a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides style search and matching model. In the absence of free entry long lived vacancies and endogenous separations give rise to a vacancy depletion channel which we identify via joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012288522
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Long live the vacancy
Häfke, Christian; Reiter, Michael - 2020
We reassess the role of vacancies in a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides style search and matching model. In the absence of free entry long lived vacancies and endogenous separations give rise to a vacancy depletion channel which we identify via joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012268078
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Long live the vacancy
Häfke, Christian; Reiter, Michael - 2020
We reassess the role of vacancies in a Diamond-Mortensen-Pissarides style search and matching model. In the absence of free entry long lived vacancies and endogenous separations give rise to a vacancy depletion channel which we identify via joint unemployment and vacancy dynamics. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012269069
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Uncertainty and labor market fluctuations
Jo, Soojin; Lee, Justin J. - 2019
We investigate how a macroeconomic uncertainty shock affects the labor market. We focus on the uncertainty transmission mechanism, for which we employ a set of worker flow indicators in addition to labor stock variables. We incorporate common factors from such indicators into a framework that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012030061
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Income Volatility and Health
Halliday, Timothy - 2021
We investigate the impact of exogenous income fluctuations on health using twenty years of data from the Panel Study of … Income Dynamics using techniques from the literature on the estimation of dynamic panel data models. Contrary to much of the … previous literature on health and socio-economic status, we find that, on average, adverse income shocks lead to a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013325213
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Why is old workers' labor market more volatile? : unemployment fluctuations over the life-cycle
Hairault, Jean-Olivier; Langot, François; Sopraseuth, … - 2014
Since the last recession, it is usually argued that older workers are less affected by the economic downturn because their unemployment rate rose less than the one of prime-age workers. This view is a myth: older workers are more sensitive to the business cycle. We document volatilities of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010339640