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deductive theory based on simplified rationality of the physical world. The behaviour of the markets cannot be derived from … e.g. the CAPM. SIM and MIM frameworks. The multifractal view of e.g. Mandelbrot concerning the market behaviour. has …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011460249
We use the Bayesian method introduced by Gallant and McCulloch (2009) to estimate consumption-based asset pricing models featuring smooth ambiguity preferences. We rely on semi-nonparametric estimation of a flexible auxiliary model in our structural estimation. Based on the market and aggregate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011780610
This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in an overlapping generations economy. I find that introducing a zero-borrowing constraint in an economy without idiosyncratic risk increases the equity premium by 70 percent, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900994
The 1987 market crash was associated with a dramatic and permanent steepening of the implied volatility curve for equity index options, despite minimal changes in aggregate consumption. We explain these events within a general equilibrium framework in which expected endowment growth and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008699179
) counterpart in portfolio performance. Collectively, they extend the return/volatility-based Modern Portfolio Theory (MPT) to a … Unified Modern Portfolio Theory (UMPT) with built-in treatments on liquidity risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014349884
Option-implied volatility-managed risk factor models produce higher maximum squared Sharpe ratios than the recently proposed six-factor model, which is used as a benchmark model in this study. A model that incorporates option-implied volatility-managed risk factors based on dynamic scaling...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862033
conditional CAPM, explains cross-sectional differences in future returns for portfolios sorted on various characteristics, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012931926
We formalize the idea that the financial sector can be a source of non-fundamental risk. Households' desire to hedge against price volatility can generate price volatility in equilibrium, even absent fundamental risk. Fearing that asset prices may fall, risk-averse households demand safe assets...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012798791
Volatility models of the market portfolio's return are central to financial risk management. Within an equilibrium framework, we introduce an implementation method and study two families of such models. One is deterministic volatility, represented by current popular models. Another is in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036566
I find that stocks with high sensitivities to changes in the VIX slope exhibit high returns on average. The price of VIX slope risk is approximately 2.5% annually, statistically significant and cannot be explained by other common factors, such as the market excess return, size, book-to-market,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013044719