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The relationship between risk and return is one of the most studied topics in finance. The majority of the literature …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010365633
Recent studies find that idiosyncratic risk (IR) has increased since the 1960's and attribute this to economy wide …&D intensity and the volatility of its returns. -- Idiosyncratic Risk ; Volatility ; Technological Change ; Industry Life Cycle …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002570986
equilibrium relationship between the market prices of risks and market risk aversion under a continuous time stochastic volatility … model completed by liquidly traded options. Empirical market price of orthogonal risk and risk aversion surfaces as well as … their time series are obtained from traded option prices. It is found that implied risk aversion exhibits a smiling pattern …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013136898
In this paper, I build a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model and estimate it using Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods. I use the results in order to examine how asset prices and macroeconomic quantities respond to the di erent shocks in the economy. Fluctuations in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121340
In 2008, the S&P500 aggregated a loss of 30.16% during three selected days. Unfortunately, benchmark risk measures didn …'t forecast these hazards. Consequently, we witness a growing interest in coherent risk measures, sensitive to high moments and … heavy tail risk. Such measures were proposed by Aumann-Serrano (2007) and Foster-Hart (2008). As a generalization of these …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013090906
We introduce a novel approach to estimating latent oil risk factors and establish their significance in pricing non … risk premia, and are significantly related to macroeconomic variables as well as portfolio returns sorted on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013091009
This paper estimates global bad and good uncertainties from monthly data on industrial production from a large set of countries. Bad and good uncertainties have opposite effects on macro aggregates and stock returns. An increase in bad uncertainty adversely impacts both, while an increase in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013000053
expected market return and from the risk-free rate. We propose to use the difference between these estimates to measure … in the market risk premium …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012926433
a parsimonious set of prior parameters, the model generates a sizeable equity premium and a low risk-free rate even with … a power utility function, low risk aversion, and absence of persistence in growth rates. Raising the prior uncertainty … on consumption growth induces a "flight to safety" that results in lower risk-free rates, higher equity premium, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150931
Under Black-Scholes (BS) assumptions, empirical volatility and risk neutral volatility are given by a single parameter …, which captures all aspects of risk. Inverting the model to extract implied volatility from an option's market price gives … investors' risk attitudes, including possibly distinct preferences over different volatility-related aspects of the returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012902982