Showing 1 - 10 of 43,618
intraday markets is proven to be an effective volatility control mechanism. However, the price stabilizing effect of hydropower …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013040587
This paper investigates the intraday electricity pricing of 15-minute contracts in night hours. We tailor a recently introduced econometric model with fundamental impacts, which is successful in describing the pricing of day contracts. Our estimation results show that mean reversion and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012826585
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010422851
weather conditions. To account for the uncertainty in predicting wind power production, this article examines the volatility …-switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) model on forecasting volatility of wind power. The realized volatility, which is derived from lower …-scale data, serves as a benchmark for the latent volatility. We find that the MRS-GARCH model significantly outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010529342
This paper characterizes the dynamics of jumps and analyzes their importance for volatility forecasting. Using high … importance of jumps for volatility forecasting. To this end, we estimate and analyze the predictive ability of several …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012904046
Electricity markets are considered to be the most volatile amongst commodity markets. The non-storability of electricity and the need for instantaneous balancing of demand and supply can often cause extreme short-lived fluctuations in electricity prices. These fluctuations are termed price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012599500
We study the performance of different regulatory approaches for the expansion of electricity transmission networks in the light of realistic demand patterns and fluctuating wind power. In particular, we are interested in the relative performance of a combined merchant-regulatory mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014184453
We study the performance of different regulatory approaches for the expansion of electricity transmission networks in the light of realistic demand patterns and fluctuating wind power. In particular, we are interested in the relative performance of a combined merchant-regulatory mechanism...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009347966
We find empirical evidence that mean-reverting jump processes are not statistically adequate to model electricity spot price spikes but independent, signed sums of such processes are statistically adequate. Further we demonstrate a change in the composition of these sums after a major economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012970314
In this paper we first analyze the stylized facts of electricity prices, in particular, the extreme volatility and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759300