Shen, Zhiwei; Ritter, Matthias - 2015
weather conditions. To account for the uncertainty in predicting wind power production, this article examines the volatility …-switching GARCH (MRS-GARCH) model on forecasting volatility of wind power. The realized volatility, which is derived from lower …-scale data, serves as a benchmark for the latent volatility. We find that the MRS-GARCH model significantly outperforms …