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Variance after-effect is a perceptual bias in the dynamic assessment of variance. Experimental evidence shows that … construct a proxy of the adjustment factor using the sequence of dispersion of analysts earnings forecast. We provide empirical …
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crisis, or, if a different forecast horizon, or, intraday sampling frequency is employed, respectively. Finally, our evidence …
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Prior research documents that volatility spreads predict stock returns. If the trading activity of informed investors is an important driver of volatility spreads, then the predictability of stock returns should be more pronounced during major information events. This paper investigates whether...
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We examine the role of concurrent information in the striking increase in investor response to earnings announcements from 2001 to 2016, as measured by return variability and volume following Beaver (1968). We find management guidance, analyst forecasts, and disaggregated financial statement...
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We develop a measure of how information events impact investors' perceptions of risk that is broadly applicable and simple to implement. We derive this measure from an option-pricing model where investors anticipate an announcement that simultaneously conveys information on the announcer's...
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