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real estate bubble burst, credit crunch and banking panics. As a response, extreme value theory (EVT) provides a set of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010399734
This paper investigates the impact of natural catastrophes and the 9-11 attacks on (1) the volatility of insurance stocks and (2) the correlation of insurance stocks with the market. We find that natural catastrophes increase the volatility of insurance stocks. They also have a tendency to...
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This paper shows that in asset pricing the information environment gives rise to a systematic risk factor when the informativeness of future news events varies with their content (i.e., bad news and good news are not equally informative). The paper further shows that in such cases (cross) serial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013119323
Variation in idiosyncratic return volatility from 1978 to 2009 is attributable to discretionary accrual volatility and the correlation between pre-managed earnings and discretionary accruals reflective of information quality across firms. These results are robust to controls for firm operating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121964
This study proposes and validates “other information” in analysts' forecasts as a legitimate proxy for future cash flows, and examines its incremental role in explaining stock return volatility. We suggest that “other information” contains information about fundamentals beyond that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075116
Financial crises are typically marked by substantial increases in ambiguity where prices appear to decouple from fundamentals. Consistent with ambiguity-based asset pricing theories, we find that ambiguity concerns are more severe for firms with higher pre-crisis earnings volatility, causing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012890190
There is a logical bound on the time-series variability of analyst forecasts; when variability exceeds this bound it must be caused by something besides statistically rational forecasting. We document occurrences of excessively volatile analyst forecasts and show that they influence investment...
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