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This paper proposes novel approaches to the modeling of attenuation bias effects in volatility forecasting. Our …
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GARCH Models have become a workhouse in volatility forecasting of financial and monetary market time series. In this article, we assess the small sample properties in estimation and the performance in volatility forecasting of four competing distribution free methods, including quasi-maximum...
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volatility forecasts. By combining the asymptotic theory of the realized variance estimator with the Kalman filter and by …
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Two volatility forecasting evaluation measures are considered; the squared one-day ahead forecast error and its standardized version. The mean squared forecast error is the widely accepted evaluation function for the realized volatility forecasting accuracy. Additionally, we explore the...
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Purpose: Using a portfolio comprising liquid global stocks and bonds, this study aims to limit absolute risk to that of a standardised benchmark and determine whether this has a significant impact on expected return in both high volatility period (HV) and low volatility period (LV)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012598597
, with LoSE in the dependent variable, not the explanatory variables, causing attenuation bias under some conditions. The … the mid-2000s), illustrating attenuation bias in regressions of GDP growth on asset prices. These biases may have …
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