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This paper develops high-frequency econometric methods to test for jumps in the spread of bond yields. We derive a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. We formalize the test as a sequential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012655372
estimation of a VAR-GARCH model. The results can be summarized as follows. Negative news have significant positive effects on … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417491
estimation of a VAR-GARCH model. The results can be summarised as follows. Negative news have significant positive effects on … reaction has increased during the recent financial crisis. News volatility has a significant impact on yield spread volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010417494
for stochastic volatility both at the regional and country specific level. Despite the share of national variance …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014356030
increases in realized volatility and arrive when differences-in-opinion among market participants are large at times of FOMC … press releases. Unlike intensity jumps, volatility jumps fail to explain the variation in news-induced realized volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013406297
portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses … nonparametric. New confidence intervals quantify the term structure estimation error. The framework is applied to estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730
This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014343097
predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012938568
predictability of excess returns on long-term bonds. Modeling this requires sufficient volatility and persistence in the price of … innovations in the level factor to explain the volatility of long-term bond returns. The model also implies that excess bond …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012940149
single common stochastic volatility factor and noidiosyncratic volatility factor. The test statistic is derived by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011555751