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We construct a momentum factor that identifies cross-sectional winners and losers based on a weighting scheme that incorporates all the price data, over the entire lookback period, as opposed to only the first and last price points of the window. The weighting scheme is derived from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236192
The presence of time series momentum effect has been widely documented in the financial markets across asset classes and countries. We find a predictable pattern of the realized semi-variance to the future individual asset return, especially during the stressed states of time series momentum...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012836027
Three concepts: stochastic discount factors, multi-beta pricing and mean-variance efficiency, are at the core of modern empirical asset pricing. This chapter reviews these paradigms and the relations among them, concentrating on conditional asset-pricing models where lagged variables serve as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023859
Compared with the market, value, or size factors, momentum has offered investors the highest Sharpe ratio. However, momentum has also had the worst crashes, making the strategy unappealing to investors who dislike negative skewness and kurtosis. We find that the risk of momentum is highly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013036981
I decompose the expected return difference between cross-asset time series momentum and time series momentum into market timing and risk premium components, and show that market timing accounts for 71–79% of the difference. I thus show that two recent critiques of time series momentum do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213175
We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
Momentum is one of the largest and most pervasive market anomalies. However, despite a high mean and Sharpe ratio, momentum suffers from large negative skewness that comes from momentum crash periods. These crashes occur in times of both market stress and market rebound and thus variables that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026403
We provide empirical evidence that the returns on US equity momentum exhibit a time-varying skewness which deepens during dramatic losses (crashes). As a result, the dynamics of the strategy expected returns reflects the time variation in both conditional volatility and skewness. This has first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013403316
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