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This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when novel events that are each somewhat unique cause unforeseeable change and Knightian uncertainty in the process driving outcomes. Expectations concordance measures the degree to which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795039
This study introduces a novel index based on expectations concordance for explaining stock-price volatility when historically unique events cause unforeseeable change and Knightian uncertainty in the process driving outcomes. Expectations concordance measures the degree to which non-repetitive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013322439
This paper investigates the association between real estate demand and the volatility of population changes. In a financial liberalized housing market, the housing mortgage loan implies insurance function to homeowners through the default option. Larger expected volatilities in the population...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013108501
We show that the hedging benefit of owning a home reduces the variability of housing consumption after a move. When a current home owner's house price covaries positively with housing costs in a future city, changes in the future cost of housing are offset by commensurate changes in wealth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013115530
aggregate volatility. Fully rational and risk averse economic agents expect macro-level dynamics to be characterized by a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013082991
(Generalized AutoRegressive Score) and GARCH models, extending them to Student's t-GARCH and t-GAS. Second, an important risk … standard option pricing inapplicable. Therefore we parametrize the investor's risk preference and use utility indifference …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010465169
This paper analyzes how the combination of borrowing constraints and idiosyncratic risk affects the equity premium in … idiosyncratic risk increases the equity premium by 70 percent, which means that the mechanism described in Constantinides, Donaldson … the zero-borrowing constraint is a lot weaker. More surprisingly, when I introduce idiosyncratic labor income risk in an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011900994
overconfident about the signal. We find that, because overconfident traders introduce an additional source of risk, rational … bonds are an essential accompaniment of equity investment, as they serve to hedge this sentiment risk …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003961073
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