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The dynamic effects of ECB announcements, disentangled into pure monetary policy and central bank information shocks, on the euro (EUR) exchange rate are examined using a Bayesian Proxy Vector Autoregressive (VAR) model fed with high-frequency data. Contractionary monetary policy shocks result...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012180641
The article provides estimates of short-run and medium-run exchange rate pass-through into domestic prices in Russia during the period of 2000–2012 using vector error correction model. Exchange rate pass-through asymmetry estimates, its assessments on different sub-periods and exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011398366
level clearly. A positive information shock which also induces increases in interest rate is perceived by private agents as …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012304714
We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and … Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy … rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation volatility to rise around 10% above their steady-state standard …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
's effect on fundamentals. The estimation results from a bivariate VAR-GARCH model suggest that the Fed does not respond to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010395968
In this paper, we reconsider the question how monetary policy influences exchange rate dynamics. To this end, a vector autoregressive (VAR) model is combined with a two-country dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model. Instead of focusing exclusively on how monetary policy shocks...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012118186
's effect on fundamentals. The estimation results from a bivariate VAR-GARCH model suggest that the Fed does not respond to the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026088
We build a new empirical model to estimate the global impact of an increase in the volatility of US monetary policy shocks. Specifically, we admit time-varying variances of local structural shocks from a stochastic volatility specification. By allowing for rich dynamic interaction between the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418859
the real economy, I find that the asset purchase shock has significant effects on consumer and professional expectations … of inflation and GDP growth. I compute dynamic responses of inflation and GDP growth; asset purchases have significant …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022250
increases, so does the risk that a restrictive forward guidance shock will increase rather than decrease stock prices. This … suggest that uncertainty is an alternative approach to explain the phenomena previously known as "information shock" and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012542948