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in the estimation of 1-day and 10-day VaR forecasts is performed in comparison with the historical simulation, filtered …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731521
The use of GARCH models with stable Paretian innovations in financial modeling has been recently suggested in the literature. This class of processes is attractive because it allows for conditional skewness and leptokurtosis of financial returns without ruling out normality. This contribution...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009765347
We present a simple new methodology to allow for time-variation in volatilities using a recursive updating scheme similar to the familiar RiskMetrics approach. It exploits the link between exponentially weighted moving average and integrated dynamics of score driven time varying parameter...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010384110
provided between frequentist and Bayesian estimation. No significant difference is found between the qualities of the forecasts …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012976219
Regular or automated processes require reliable software applications that provide accurate volatility and Value-at-Risk forecasts. The univariate and multivariate GARCH models proposed in the literature are reviewed and the suitability of selected R functions for automated forecasting systems...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013474092
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This chapter presents an empirical application of Bayesian MCMC estimation to the three main asset pricing models in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949435
Background: Modeling exchange rate volatility has remained crucially important because of its diverse implications. This study aimed to address the issue of error distribution assumption in modeling and forecasting exchange rate volatility between the Bangladeshi taka (BDT) and the US dollar...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011747702
Forecasting-volatility models typically rely on either daily or high frequency (HF) data and the choice between these two categories is not obvious. In particular, the latter allows to treat volatility as observable but they suffer of many limitations. HF data feature microstructure problem,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011730304