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The uncertainty of U.S. core inflation, measured by the stochastic volatility of forecast errors, has soared to a level … increase after a positive shock to core inflation uncertainty in a vector autoregression. Endogenous changes in household … inflation expectations help to understand the transmission mechanism through which an inflation uncertainty shock generates …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014436184
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the normal regime, oil price shocks … followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the same … direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a potential …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011771984
We examine the effect of inflation variability and economic growth using annual historical data on both developing and … inflation variability by the five-year coefficient of variation of inflation, we obtain the following results: (1) For … developing countries, there is significant evidence to suggest that when the rate of inflation exceeds 10% inflation variability …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013038056
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406029
Ghana is poised to be one of the fastest growing economies in Sub-Saharan Africa because of its emerging oil and gas industry. Ghana's discovery of oil in commercial quantities in 2007 and its commencement of production in 2010 are expected to have an impact on the economy. To investigate these,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012999305
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012312754
patterns in economic activity and inflation following oil price shocks in the euro area. In the 'normal regime', oil price … shocks are followed by sizeable and sustained macroeconomic fluctuations, with inflation and economic activity moving in the … same direction as the oil price. The responses of inflation expectations and wage growth point to second-round effects as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011709632
contributes substantially to variations in real output, inflation and various macroeconomic variables of South Africa. Therefore …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012023148
both unemployment and inflation rates in the long term, while other factors showed a negative correlation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014636061
This paper investigates the relationship between the Great Moderation and two measures of inflation performance: trend … inflation and inflation volatility. Using annual data from 1970 to 2011 for a large panel of 180 developed and developing … empirical findings show that the effect of inflation volatility is positive, while the effect of trend inflation is negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010346738