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Modelling the underlying long-run trend of metal prices is important, given that selected metals are a source of income for many countries. However, estimating the underlying trend has proven to be difficult, given the persistence and volatility of primary commodity prices-metals are no...
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simple and threshold jumps and continuous variation yields a substantial improvement in volatility forecasting or not. The …
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that estimated parameters can be used for forecasting the evolution of the turbulent flow. We compare forecasting results … by estimating the intermittency parameter and forecasting of volatility for a sample of financial data from stock and … foreign exchange markets. -- Random Lognormal cascades ; GMM estimation ; best linear forecasting ; volatility of financial …
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