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Financial markets are seen as one of the most important markets in economic terms. The activities of investors in the financial markets consist in predicting how best to invest the accumulated capital, using all kinds of analyzes and forecasts. In the literature on the subject, apart from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014444916
The same firm characteristics that help explain cross-sectional variation in expected stock returns, such as size, book-to-market and the earnings yield, also help explain cross-sectional variation in returns to trading in option-implied stock return volatility. This empirical phenomenon is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855869
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
We assess investment value of sell-side analyst recommendations from the standpoint of portfolio risk. We match I/B/E/S consensus recommendations issued for U.S.-listed equities during January 2015 with realized volatility of daily security returns up to one year following recommendation issue....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012917695
We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
Our objective in this paper is to examine whether one can use option-implied information to improve the selection of mean-variance portfolios with a large number of stocks, and to document which aspects of option-implied information are most useful for improving their out-of-sample performance....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013116788
We study whether option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, contains information about future returns, especially the negative ones. Our tail loss measure predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100653
This paper aims at providing new insights on the pricing of aggregate volatility risk by incorporating investor sentiment in the relation between sensitivity to innovations in implied market volatility and expected stock returns. Using both cross-sectional and time series analysis, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013015828
The study examined high volatile assets, specifically the currency exchange rate of the open financial market. Takes into consideration the five most traded paired currencies of the global financial market. And observed, generally, the data set of the unit currency exchange rate exhibit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012835628
We propose a Multivariate Volatility Regulated Kelly strategy, which has extra penalization on variance compared to the Kelly criterion. The objective function is constructed and solved. We show the superiority of our method in relative low correlated portfolios, relatively to fractional Kelly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012960889