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Intraday and high frequency time series are mostly defined by a non-continuous prices process. This paper introduces an integer based ARMA model found to be a better predictor for absolute intraday price changes than continuous time estimators (such as GARCH or multiplicative error models)....
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"Leverage Effect" in the returns of BIST-100 index. Therefore, one can say that political uncertainty is still a problem for the …
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This paper examines the effect of different dimensions of uncertainty on expectations of WTI crude oil futures momentum … traders at a daily level. We consider two concepts of uncertainty and two momentum trading indicators based on technical … uncertainty shocks, we apply a time-varying Bayesian VAR approach. Our findings indicate that both measures of uncertainty affect …
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