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This paper investigates market perceptions of the risk of large exchange rate movements by using information gleaned from risk reversal contracts and macroeconomic news surprises. We focus on the height of the carry trade period in Japan (March 2004 through December 2006). Concerns about sharp...
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significant degree of leptokurtosis, thus prevalence of tail-risks, in the conditional volatility series of such variables in the …
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investment and a relationship between trade and exchange rate volatility that depend on the sign of bilateral trade balances …
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methods. The effects of several model characteristics(unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy tailed …
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methods. The effects ofseveral modelcharacteristics (unit roots, GARCH, stochastic volatility, heavy taileddisturbance …
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