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Oil funds have become increasingly popular in oil exporting countries during the recent surge in oil prices. However, the literature on the contribution is small, tends to focus narrowly on their fiscal benefits, and concludes that they are redundant of such funds-in other words, that well...
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We use a new micro data set that covers all oil fields in the world to estimate a stochastic industry-equilibrium model … market in a general-equilibrium model of the world economy. We analyze the impact of the advent of fracking on the volatility …
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The predominant fear in capital markets is that of a price spike. Commodity markets differ in that there is a fear of both upward and down jumps, this results in implied volatility curves displaying distinct shapes when compared to equity markets. The use of a novel functional data analysis...
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Using the model-independent approaches of Trolle and Schwartz (2008) and Kozhan et al (2013), we estimate the Variance Risk Premium and Skew Risk Premium for oil market. After estimation, the contribution of the paper is twofold. First, we try to figure out which variables can describe the...
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is most helpful for forecasting the VaR. The model that integrates the world industrial production index (GARCH …
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