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expectations operator that, relative to rational expectations, assigns greater probability to extreme inflation and consumption … outcomes. Second, the central bank's skepticism about its model causes it to move forcefully to stabilize inflation following …
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Agents who acknowledge that their models are incorrectly specified are said to be ambiguity averse, and this affects the prices they are willing to trade at. Models for prices of commodities attempt to capture three stylized features: seasonal trend, moderate deviations (a diffusive factor), and...
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