Exploring the information contained in Commodity Futures Trading Commission's (CFTC) Commitments of Traders (COT) reports, this analysis investigates the forecasting ability of investor sentiment index in three major precious metal futures markets, namely, Gold, Silver, and Platinum. A strong...

Current discussions about public and private pension plans often state that the stock market is less risky in the long run than in the short run. Pension plans with their rather long planning horizon are therefore asked to increase the allocation to the stock market. Such statements, however,...