We use the notion of local Holder regularity to investigate the roughness of the pattern of EUR/USD exchange rate process as well as the corresponding investor sentiment dynamic process. Specifically, we use the pointwise Holder exponent to measure the local Holder regularity of a...

In this paper we provide a unifed methodology in order to conduct likelihood-based inference on the unknown parameters of a general class of discrete-time stochastic volatility models, characterized by both a leverage effect and jumps in returns. Given the nonlinear/non-Gaussian state-space...

We investigate changes in the time series characteristics of postwar U.S. inflation. In a model-based analysis the conditional mean of inflation is specified by a long memory autoregressive fractionally integrated moving average process and the conditional variance is modelled by a stochastic...

The linear Gaussian state space model for which the common variance istreated as a stochastic time-varying variable is considered for themodelling of economic time series. The focus of this paper is on thesimultaneous estimation of parameters related to the stochasticprocesses of the mean part...