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The impacts of global risk and US monetary policy on US Dollar exchange rates and excess currency returns
Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2023
We examine the causal relationship between US monetary policy shocks, exchange rates and currency excess returns for a sample of eight advanced countries over the period 1980M1 to 2022M11. We find that the dynamics of the US dollar exchange rate is the main driver of currency excess returns. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014305726
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A possible explanation of the 'exchange rate disconnect puzzle' : a common solution to three major macroeconomic puzzles?
Horioka, Charles; Ford, Nicholas - 2016
Meese and Rogoff (1983) and subsequent studies find that economic fundamentals are apparently not able to explain exchange rate movements, but we argue that this so-called "Exchange Rate Disconnect Puzzle" arose because researchers such as Meese and Rogoff (1983) did not use the right...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011502367
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Asymmetric volatility spillover between crude oil and other asset markets
Guan, Bo; Mazouz, Khelifa; Xu, Yongdeng - 2023
This study uses the Multiplicative Error Model (MEM) to explore asymmetric volatility spillovers between crude oil and other major asset markets. We have extended the MEM of Engle et al. (2012) and ddd to include asymmetric volatility spillovers and developed the spillover balance as well as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014433363
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Exchange rates and the global transmission of equity market shocks
Ojea-Ferreiro, Javier; Reboredo, Juan Carlos - 2021
We assess the role played by exchange rates in buffering or amplifying the propagation of shocks across international equity markets. Using copula functions we model the joint dependence between exchange rates and two global equity markets and, from a copula framework, we obtain the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012549999
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Exchange rate co-movements, hedging and volatility spillovers in new EU forex markets
Kočenda, Evžen; Moravcová, Michala - 2017
We analyze time-varying exchange rate co-movements and volatility spillovers between the Czech koruna, the Polish zloty, the Hungarian forint and the dollar/euro from 1999 to 2016. We apply the dynamic conditional correlations (DCC) model and the Diebold Yilmaz spillover index to examine the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011763803
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Strategies on Initial Public Offering of Company Equity at Stock Exchanges in Imperfect Highly Volatile Global Capital Markets with Induced Nonlinearities
Ledenyov, Dimitri - 2015
-determinant for the successful IPO deal completion. We propose the Ledenyov theory on the origins of the IPO underpricing and long …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026463
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Analysis of the Intraday Effects of Economic Releases on the, Currency Market
Rezania, Omid; Račev, Svetlozar T.; Sun, Edward; … - 2010
Using four years of second-by-second executed trade data, we study the intraday effects of a representative group of scheduled economic releases on three exchange rates: EUR/$, JPY/$ and GBP/$. Using wavelets to analyze volatility behavior, we empirically show that intraday volatility clusters...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008654275
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Aggregate Trading Behaviour of Technical Models and the Yen/Dollar Exchange Rate 1976-2007
Schulmeister, Stephan - 2010
The study analyses the interaction between the trading behaviour of 1,024 moving average and momentum models and the fluctuations of the yen-dollar exchange rate. I show first that these models would have exploited exchange rate trends quite profitably between 1976 and 2007. I then show that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013135725
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Wave Function Method to Forecast Foreign Currencies Exchange Rates at Ultra High Frequency Electronic Trading in Foreign Currencies Exchange Markets
Ledenyov, Dimitri - 2015
exchange rates dynamics in the foreign currencies exchange markets in the classic finances theory; 3) the description on the … theory; 4) the derivation of the time dependent/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 5) the …/time independent wave equation in the quantum finances theory; 6) the discussion on the developed software program with the embedded …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013013057
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Something in the air: information density, news surprises, and price jumps
Füss, Roland; Grabellus, Markus; Mager, Ferdinand; … - 2015
This paper introduces a new information density indicator to provide a more comprehensive understanding of price reactions to news and, more specifically, to the sources of jumps in financial markets. Our information density indicator, which measures the abnormal amount of noisy “ticker”...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011344170