The inability to reconcile observed levels of foreign exchange rate volatility with predictions derived from rational expectations models represents one of the most persistent challenges in international finance. This paper shows that such excess volatility puzzles arise from informational...

This paper examines whether rational, fully informed speculators will smooth exchange rates. Friedman's (1953) claim that they must do so is challenged, based on the exclusion of interest rate differentials from his interpretation of speculator behavior. Once one recognizes that interest rates...

This paper examines whether rational, fully informed speculators stabilize floating exchange rates. Friedman's claim that they must do so (1953), because they buy low and sell high, is challenged. Friedman excluded any consideration of interest rate differentials from his interpretation of...

This paper examines whether rational, fully informed speculators will smooth exchange rates. Friedman's (1953) claim that they must do so is challenged, based on the exclusion of interest rate differentials from his interpretation of speculator behavior. Once one recognizes that interest rates...

This paper tests the co-terminal swap market model (SMM) pricing and hedging performance on Bermudan swaptions. To our knowledge, the drift for SMM is derived explicitly for the first time here, and the procedures for calibration and simulation using a collection of forward swap rates are also...