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The payoff of many credit derivatives depends on the level of credit spreads. In particular, credit derivatives with a leverage component are subject to gap risk, a risk associated with the occurrence of jumps in the underlying credit default swaps. In the framework of first passage time models,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293916
Credit volatility correlates quite modestly with equity volatility. Currently, only backward-looking indexes for credit volatility exist. We derive model-free indexes of expected CDS index spread volatility that rely on CDS index option prices, which re ect the fair value of dedicated credit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009750614
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724823
This paper attempts to explain the credit default swap (CDS) premium by using a novel approach to identify the volatility and jump risks of individual firms from a unique dataset of high-frequency CDS spreads. I find that the volatility risk alone predicts 55% of the variation in CDS spread...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012857216
We document a higher bond return volatility around the time of default for bonds included in CDS auctions (especially cheapest-to-deliver bonds) versus those that are not, while controlling for firm fundamentals and bond illiquidity. This finding does not extend to time periods far ahead of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846414
We investigate the informational content of credit default swap (CDS) spreads for future volatility of (firm) assets and equity. In the cross-section, CDS spreads are significantly more informative about future asset than equity volatility. The informational content of historical and option...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012848868
We demonstrate how the Double-Exponential Jump-Diffusion (DEJD) process can be used to value iTraxx CDS options based on historical returns of the underlying CDS index. In the first step we find Maximum Likelihood estimates for the volatility of the normal component of returns and the Poisson...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928344
In this study, we derive a CDS implied equity volatility index from highly liquid one-year contracts in the Eurozone, and for the inclusive period 2008-2014. We analyze the relationship between this volatility index and the VSTOXX 12M within a fractionally cointegrated vector autoregressive...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012932044
This paper studies the relationship between credit default swap spreads (CDS) for the Energy sector and oil futures dynamics. Using data on light sweet crude oil futures from 2004 to 2013, which contains a crisis period, we examine the importance of volatility and jumps extracted from the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026577
The purpose of the paper is twofold. First, it aims at identifying when UK and European (France, Germany, Italy and Spain) Credit Default Swaps(CDSs) exhibit explosivity with respect to their past behaviors. Second, it seeks to quantify the dynamics of CDS volatility spillover effects...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012259768