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Measuring and modeling financial volatility is the key to derivative pricing, asset allocation and risk management.The recent availability of high-frequency data allows for refined methods in this field.In particular, more precise measures for the daily or lower frequency volatility can be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003727640
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We demonstrate that the parameters controlling skewness and kurtosis in popular equity return models estimated at daily frequency can be obtained almost as precisely as if volatility is observable by simply incorporating the strong information content of realized volatility measures extracted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013128339
return quantiles depend on the realized measures and evaluate the distribution, quantile and interval forecasts of the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013092230
high-frequency data better and produce more accurate forecasts than competing realized volatility and option …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855793
We propose a multiplicative component model for intraday volatility. The model consists of a seasonality factor, as well as a semiparametric and parametric component. The former captures the well-documented intraday seasonality of volatility, while the latter two account for the impact of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012990974
This paper develops the asymptotic theory of the threshold pre-averaged multi-power variation estimation in the simultaneous presence of jumps and market microstructure noise and then proposes an improved estimator for integrated volatility of an Itô semi-martingale based on the obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013246425
Weekly, quarterly and yearly risk measures are crucial for risk reporting according to Basel III and Solvency II. For the respective data frequencies, the authors show in a simulation and back-test study that available data series are not sufficient in order to estimate Value at Risk and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012827639
-regressive parameter to vary as a function of the error term, the result is more responsive forecasts with greater persistence (faster mean …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012829634
In recent years, numerous volatility-based derivative products have been engineered. This has led to interest in constructing conditional predictive densities and confidence intervals for integrated volatility. In this paper, we propose nonparametric kernel estimators of the aforementioned...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009130720