We use bivariate ARCH specifications to model the conditional mean and stock price volatilityfor 56 takeover bids from January 1985 and July 1994. Using daily data from one year prior to thetakeover announcement until the conclusion of the bid, we allow for two-way interaction in bothmoments...

This paper identifies America's first Great Moderation, a period from 1841-1856 of unbroken economic expansion and low volatility comparable to the Great Moderation of the 1980s-2000s. This moderation occurred despite a lack of central banks, low governmental spending, and barriers to interstate...

This paper analyzes the impacts of news shocks on macroeconomic volatility. Whereas anticipation amplifies volatility in any purely forward-looking model, such as the baseline New Keynesian model, the results are ambiguous when including a backward-looking component. In addition to these...