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Simulations of a model pension scheme are run with stochastic economic and demographic factors, with an aim to investigate the impact of these factors on movements in funding ratio and average contribution rates. These impacts are analyzed by running regressions of movements in funding ratio and...
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In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...
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The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U.S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010302536
We present a new approach to study empirically the effect of the introduction of the euro on currency invoicing. Our approach uses a compositional multinomial logit model, in which currency choice depends on the characteristics of both the currency and the country. We use unique quarterly panel...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003969238
The volatility information content of stock options for individual firms is measured using option prices for 149 U.S. firms and the S&P 100 index. ARCH and regression models are used to compare volatility forecasts defined by historical stock returns, at-the-money implied volatilities and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003857823
This paper investigates the use of price intensities to estimate volatilities based on high-frequency data. We interpret the conditional probability for the occurrence of a price event within a certain time horizon as a risk measure which allows us to obtain an estimator of the conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543683
This paper analyses the link between the VDAX as a proxy for European financial uncertainty and the number of terror incidents in Western Europe. Considering data of the Global Terrorism Database, the number of terror incidents does - on average - not affect financial uncertainty. In contrast,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581042