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-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a particular advantage over long forecasting horizons, we consider predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294979
Bayesian forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295106
-memory counterparts. Since long memory models should have a particular advantage over long forecasting horizons, we consider predictions …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295136
forecasting of volatility. However, applicability of MLE is restricted to cases with a discrete distribution of volatility … leads to gains in forecasting accuracy for some time series. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295151
Financial decision makers often consider the information in currency option valuations when making assessments about future exchange rates. The purpose of this paper is to systematically assess the quality of option based volatility, interval and density forecasts. We use a unique dataset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604412
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers … that the new method based on stochastic volatility models with the asymmetry and long memory outperforms the forecasting …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662515
the Nigeria stock market. The EGARCH model is found to be the most efficient for forecasting volatilities and has the … years. The forecasting performance shows the volatility in the Nigeria stock market to be on the increase for the next four …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011961666
on some high frequency basis has spurred the research in the field of volatility modeling and forecasting into new …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010263102
Alternate Models for Forecasting Hedge Fund ReturnsMichael HoldenFaculty Sponsor: Gordon Dash, Finance and Decision … forecast methods in producing one-period ahead change-of-direction when forecasting the expected returns of various hedge fund …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009455888
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003926975