The scaling properties of two alternative fractal models recently proposed to characterize the dynamics of stock market prices are compared. The former is the Multifractal Model of Asset Return (MMAR) introduced in 1997 by Mandelbrot, Calvet and Fisher in three companion papers. The latter is...

We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...

In this paper we analyze the limiting properties of the estimated parameters in a general class of asymmetric volatility models which are closely related to the traditional exponential GARCH model. The new representation has three main advantages over the traditional EGARCH: (1) It allows a much...

This paper studies the impact that pre-IPO cash flow volatility has on the initial and long-term value of a publicly traded firm. From the perspective of corporate risk management theory, higher cash flow volatility should reduce value in the form of higher borrowing costs, reduced investment,...

This paper presents a variety of tests of volatility spillover that are robust to heavy tails generated by large errors or GARCH-type feedback. The tests are couched in a general conditional heteroskedasticity framework with idiosyncratic shocks that are only required to have a finite variance...

The first ever explicit formulation of the concept of the option's probability density functions has been introduced in our publications “Breakthrough in Understanding Derivatives and Option Based Hedging - Marginal and Joint Probability Density Functions of Vanilla Options - True...

• It is not widely emphasized in the literature that derivatives are complex random quantities which should, by custom, be characterized by their probability density functions. • It is understood that Black-Scholes style of derivatives pricing represents an expected value, i.e. the...

The first ever explicit formulation of the concept of an option's probability density functions has been introduced in our publications “Breakthrough in Understanding Derivatives and Option Based Hedging - Marginal and Joint Probability Density Functions of Vanilla Options - True Value-at-Risk...