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Prominent financial stock pricing models are built on assumption that asset returns follow a normal (Gaussian … Macedonian Stock Exchange (MSE). Obtaining information about the shape of distribution is an important step for models of pricing …
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We add discrete jumps in the time-to-maturity of a firm's debt to the model of Engle and Siriwardane (2015), such that changes in equity volatility can be explained by the volatility of the firm's assets, its market leverage and investors' perception of the time-to-maturity of the firm's debt....
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tests. It is demonstrated that misspecifications of forecasting models can be detected within the proposed regression … power in many practical situations and therefore frequently selects incorrect forecasting models. The empirical results … provide some evidence that GARCH-t models provide good density forecasts. The results further suggest that extensions of …
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Several market and macro-level variables influence the evolution of equity risk in addition to the well-known volatility persistence. However, the impact of those covariates might change depending on the risk level, being different between low and high volatility states. By combining equity risk...
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