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The rapid growth of exchange traded products (ETPs) has raised concerns about their implications for financial stability. A case in point is the abrupt market crash of short volatility strategies on February 5th 2018. In this paper, we describe this “Volmageddon” event and illustrate the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585893
We find that option expensiveness, as measured by delta-hedged option returns, is higher for low-ESG stocks, indicating that investors pay a premium in the option market to hedge ESG-related uncertainty. We estimate this ESG premium to be about 0.3% per month. All three components of ESG...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012593635
We define a sentiment indicator based on option prices, valuation ratios and interest rates. The indicator can be interpreted as a lower bound on the expected growth in fundamentals that a rational investor would have to perceive in order to be happy to hold the market. The lower bound was...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012489383
We consider a market where traders have asymmetric information regarding the distribution of asset return and study price discovery of derivatives. The informed trader has private information regarding arbitrary higher moments of asset return, such as volatility or skewness, and exploits her...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271186
Corporate bonds with large increases in implied volatility over the past month underperform those with large decreases in implied volatility by 0.6% per month. In contrast to An, Ang, Bali, and Cakici (2014) who show that implied volatility changes carry information about fundamental news, our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012179498
In several countries, classical options markets coexist with markets for bank-issued options, also termed warrants. It is an open question if warrant issuers purely adopt options market information about future volatility or if they contribute to volatility discovery by their own. As a result,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012853678
We propose a mean-reverting electricity spot price model of arithmetic jump-diffusion type yielding positive prices. Based on this approach, we derive the corresponding forward and futures price representations. We further discuss different choices for the stochastic mean level process and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855479
We ask whether option prices contain information on the likelihood and direction of jumps in the underlying stock prices. Applying the partial least squares (PLS) approach to the entire surface of the implied volatilities (IV), we show that option prices can successfully predict downward jumps...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847745
In the U.S. stock and options markets from January 1996 to December 2013, we examine whether information uncertainty explains the discrepancy between historical and implied volatilities in Goyal and Saretto (2009). In addition, we clarified the impact of the uncertainty on the stock market as...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012870769