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between countries using a global vector autoregressive (GVAR) model. Over the period 2000Q1-2020Q4, our global index is able … the COVID-19 pandemic. Global spillover effects are quantified through a novel GVAR-based decomposition of country …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281497
This paper examines the investment behavior of different financial institutions in debt securities with a particular focus on their response to price changes. For identification, we use security-level data from the German Microdatabase Securities Holdings Statistics. Our results suggest that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011975050
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics. This paper studies the interrelation between financial markets volatility and economic activity assuming that both...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011286232
The 2007-2008 global financial crisis and the subsequent anemic recovery have rekindled academic interest in quantifying the impact of uncertainty on macroeconomic dynamics based on the premise that uncertainty causes economic activity to slow down and contract. In this paper, we study the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338658
The relationship between oil price fluctuations and the trade balance of Turkey is the main concern of this paper. Economic growth performance of Turkey depends on imported capital goods as well as imported oil. Oil price increases bring a heavy burden for Turkish economy. Therefore, it is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846933
This paper examines the impact of international financial integration on macroeconomic volatility in a large group of industrial and developing economies over the period 1960-99. We report two major results: First, while the volatility of output growth has, on average, declined in the 1990s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013212317
A common finding in the international-economics literature is that the elasticity of substitution between domestically produced and imported goods is smaller in the short than in the long run. Despite this, most of today's commonly used macroeconomic models assume this elasticity to be constant....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010437790
Using the “trilemma indexes” developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma — monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness — this paper examines how policy configurations affect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013142882
Recent hikes and fluctuations in global commodity prices in 2007-11 have raised many issues. The present analysis is an attempted advancement to identify appropriate associations to volatile commodity prices by advancing existing analysis of S&P GSCI commodity spot price index is used as a proxy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013088532
This study investigates the sources of bilateral real exchange rate (RER) volatility in industrial countries. Going beyond traditional macroeconomic determinants, we identify the role of both trade and finance-related factors in explaining RER volatility at different time horizons. The results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013158418