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This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339147
We investigate the effect of uncertainty on investment. We employ a unique dataset of 25000 Greek firms' balance sheets … uncertainty. The investment performance of 14 sectors is examined within a dynamic investment model. Robust GMM estimates of the … investment rate model reveal a high degree of heterogeneity among these sectors. Overall uncertainty affects negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063228
events that are each somewhat unique cause unforeseeable change and Knightian uncertainty in the process driving outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795039
. Hedging strategies are robust with respect to uncertainty in the sense that their tracking errors satisfy a supermartingale …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934249
This study investigates the impact of uncertainty on the mean-variance relationship. We find that the stock market …’s expected excess return is positively related to the market’s conditional variances and implied variance during low uncertainty … periods but unrelated or negatively related to conditional variances and implied variance during high uncertainty periods. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
This paper derives two new improved risk metrics LAPVaR and LAPSF. Traditional VaRDeltaNormal valuation exaggerates market and liquidity risks to the point it could be larger than the actual portfolio value. Put VaR – PVaR – as well as Put Shortfall – PSF – uses option theory to solve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962743
This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the … methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for … to a wide range of historical events generally associated with heightened uncertainty. In addition, following Pier and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012503567
Using equations that arise in quantum mechanics, this paper describes a way to more accurately and efficiently represent non-Gaussian return distributions than the standard method of invoking skewness and kurtosis. Then, it provides a new single intuitive number, defined here as the “crash...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012844430
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114388