Showing 1 - 10 of 3,426
This paper deals with three aspects of spectacular oil price episodes such as the one witnessed in 2008. First, the concept of temporary explosiveness is proposed as an empirical method for capturing this type of behavior. The application of a recently proposed recursive unit root test shows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786017
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014339147
We investigate the effect of uncertainty on investment. We employ a unique dataset of 25000 Greek firms' balance sheets … uncertainty. The investment performance of 14 sectors is examined within a dynamic investment model. Robust GMM estimates of the … investment rate model reveal a high degree of heterogeneity among these sectors. Overall uncertainty affects negatively …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012063228
This paper derives two new improved risk metrics LAPVaR and LAPSF. Traditional VaRDeltaNormal valuation exaggerates market and liquidity risks to the point it could be larger than the actual portfolio value. Put VaR – PVaR – as well as Put Shortfall – PSF – uses option theory to solve...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012962743
This study investigates the impact of uncertainty on the mean-variance relationship. We find that the stock market …’s expected excess return is positively related to the market’s conditional variances and implied variance during low uncertainty … periods but unrelated or negatively related to conditional variances and implied variance during high uncertainty periods. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012887264
correlation between output and aggregate uncertainty. We find the transmission of uncertainty shocks to output is weak, while … aggregate uncertainty endogenously responds to first moment shocks in the presence of labor market search frictions. This … indicates that countercyclical movements in aggregate uncertainty are endogenous responses to changes in output, rather than …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013219154
If agents are ambiguity-averse and can invest in productive assets, asset prices can robustly exhibit indeterminacy in the markets that open after the productive investment has been launched. For indeterminacy to occur, the aggregate supply of goods must appear in precise configurations but the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013114388
There is wide debate over the impact of uncertainty on firm behavior, due to the difficulty both of measuring … uncertainty and of identifying causality. This paper takes three steps that attempt to address these challenges. First, we develop …-looking measures of uncertainty over firms' business conditions. Finally, we examine how uncertainty affects a range of outcomes …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013069505
markets. The weather-driven uncertainty of renewable forecast errors could have price increasing impacts. This research sets … weather types and their renewable production uncertainty is proved via empirical methods. Weather types are identified in … which renewable production is harder to predict. The findings connect weather dependent renewable forecast uncertainty to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011750347
(CRIX), Gold, and uncertainty measures. Apart from traditional uncertainty measures, such as the Volatility Index and the … Economic Policy Uncertainty, we also consider two novel uncertainty measures: Cryptocurrency Policy Uncertainty and … Cryptocurrency Price Uncertainty indices. We observe that cryptocurrency policy uncertainty is the main transmitter of the return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294360