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The contemporary refining sector has to contend with many types of risks, among which price risk is considered to be the foremost. Moreover, refineries define it as a commodity risk and identify it with both opportunities and threats carried by changes in prices of crude oil and products of...
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Derivatives that manage commodity risk over multiple periods are not Sharīʿah-compliant. This study proposes a Sharīʿah-compliant swaption model (waʿd or promise on swap) for hedging commodity risk. The model combines two separate and independent waʿds (promises) on commodity swap through...
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The detrended implied volatility of commodity options (VOL) forecasts the cross section of the commodity futures returns significantly. A zero-cost strategy that is long in low VOL and short in high VOL commodities yields an annualized return of 12.66% and a Sharpe ratio of 0.69. Notably, the...
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