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the statistical moments of these option-implied probability density functions are documented until April 2010. Particular … financial crisis between 2007 and 2009. In doing so, it shows how option-implied probability density functions could be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008901645
This paper contributes a generic probabilistic method to derive explicit exact probability densities for stochastic volatility models. Our method is based on a novel application of the exponential measure change in Palmowski & Rolski (2002). With this generic approach, we first derive explicit...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012941953
the statistical moments of these option-implied probability density functions are documented until April 2010. Particular … financial crisis between 2007 and 2009. In doing so, it shows how option-implied probability density functions could be used to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132237
generalizes the familiar Black and Scholes option pricing model by letting the returns of the underlying asset follow a mean … the squared deviations between predicted and true option prices. The ability of the model to fit observed option prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014058544
In current financial markets negative interest rates have become rather persistent, while in theory it is often common practice to discard such rates as incredible and irrelevant. However, from a risk management perspective, it is crucially important to financial institutions to properly account...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012852344
The VIX index is not only a volatility index but also a polynomial combination of all possible higher moments in market return distribution under the risk-neutral measure. This paper formulates the VIX as a linear decomposition of four fundamentally different elements: the realized variance...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012855651
The standard shifted lognormal model, defined by just two parameters, provides a remarkably good fit to the market implied volatilities of VIX options.Inspired by an analytic approximation derived by Lee and Wang, we propose a simple, intuitive extension that provides better empirical fits while...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868582
We provide an efficient swaption volatility approximation for longer maturities and tenors, under the lognormal forward-LIBOR model. In particular, we approximate the swaption volatility with a mean update of the spanning forward rates. Since the joint distribution of the forward rates is not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012901887
In this article, the Universal Approximation Theorem of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is applied to the SABR stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et al. [2002] is considered, then a more accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596
Affine jump diffusion models in general and affine stochastic volatility models in particular are important modeling tools in finance. Their popularity resides in their exibility coupled with their analytical tractability, especially with respect to characteristic functions and polynomial...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012893762