Testing procedures for predictive regressions with lagged autoregressive variables imply a suboptimal inference in presence of small violations of ideal assumptions. We propose a novel testing framework resistant to such violations, which is consistent with nearly integrated regressors and...

This paper develops the necessary methodology for high frequency ANOVA, which includes the estimations of idiosyncratic volatility and realized R-Squared. Because the residual process is latent in the high frequency regression, the estimation of idiosyncratic volatility is notoriously difficult...

We propose a jump robust positive semidefinite rank-based estimator for the daily covariance matrix based on high-frequency intraday returns. It disentangles covariance estimation into variance and correlation components. This allows to estimate correlations over lower sampling frequencies, to...

We estimate the daily integrated variance and covariance of stock returns using high-frequency data in the presence of jumps, market microstructure noise and non-synchronous trading. For this we propose jump robust two time scale (co)variance estimators and verify their reduced bias and mean...

We compare more than 1000 different volatility models in terms of their fit to the historical ISE-100 Index data and their forecasting performance of the conditional variance in an out-of-sample setting. Exponential GARCH model of Nelson (1991) with “constant mean, t-distribution, one lag...

In this paper we analyze the limiting properties of the estimated parameters in a general class of asymmetric volatility models which are closely related to the traditional exponential GARCH model. The new representation has three main advantages over the traditional EGARCH: (1) It allows a much...

Price spikes are of particular importance due to their severe impacts on consumers, businesses and industry. They constitute a major source of price risk to market participants, e.g., electricity retailers with commitments to meet customers' daily electricity demands. To those trading in several...

When estimating integrated volatilities based on high-frequency data, simplifying assumptions are usually imposed on the relationship between the observation times and the price process. In this paper, we establish a central limit theorem for the Realized Volatility in a general endogenous time...

This paper attempts to measure the risk and return relationship in Dhaka Stock Exchange (DSE) of Bangladesh. Applying Single Index Model, the study reports statistically significant positive relationship between risk and return both at the individual security level and at the portfolio level....