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Our paper investigates the impact of COVID-19 on stock markets across G7 countries (the US, the UK, Canada, France, Germany, Italy and Japan) and sectors (Consumer Goods, Consumer Services, Financials, Healthcare, Industrials, Materials, Oil & Gas, Technology, Telecommunications and Utilities)...
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We document the forecasting gains achieved by incorporating measures of signed, finite and infinite jumps in forecasting the volatility of equity prices, using high-frequency data from 2000 to 2016. We consider the SPY and 20 stocks that vary by sector, volume and degree of jump activity. We use...
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This paper proposes a cluster HAR-type model that adopts the hierarchical clustering technique to form the cascade of heterogeneous volatility components. In contrast to the conventional HAR-type models, the proposed cluster models are based on the relevant lagged volatilities selected by the...
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This paper examines the impact of intraday periodicity on forecasting realized volatility using a heterogeneous autoregressive model (HAR) framework. We show that periodicity inflates the variance of the realized volatility and biases jump estimators. This combined effect adversely affects...
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We propose a dilution bias correction approach to deal with the errors-in-variables problem observed in realized volatility (RV) measures. The absolute difference between daily and monthly RV is shown to be proportional to the relative magnitude of the measurement error. Therefore, in...
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