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The uncertainty in extreme risk forecasts from covariate-augmented volatility models
Hoga, Yannick - In: International journal of forecasting 37 (2021) 2, pp. 675-686
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012792861
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Bootstrapping time-varying uncertainty intervals for extreme daily return periods
Makatjane, Katleho - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 10 (2022) 1, pp. 1-23
This study aims to overcome the problem of dimensionality, accurate estimation, and forecasting Value-at-Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) uncertainty intervals in high frequency data. A Bayesian bootstrapping and backtest density forecasts, which are based on a weighted threshold and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012804913
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Bayesian estimation of stochastic tail index from high-frequency financial data
Doğan, Osman; Taṣpınar, Süleyman; Bera, Anil K. - In: Empirical economics : a quarterly journal of the … 61 (2021) 5, pp. 2685-2711
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012664628
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Measuring contagion risk in high volatility state among Taiwanese major banks
Su, Ender - In: Risk management : a journal of risk, crisis and disaster 20 (2018) 3, pp. 185-241
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011885900
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Heavy-tailed distributions and risk management of equity market tail events
Guo, Zi-Yi - In: Journal of risk & control 4 (2017) 1, pp. 31-41
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012236800
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Stochastic tail index model for high frequency financial data with Bayesian analysis
Mao, Guangyu; Zhang, Zhengjun - In: Journal of econometrics 205 (2018) 2, pp. 470-487
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012110325
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Measuring tail risk with GAS time varying copula, fat tailed GARCH model and hedging for crude oil futures
Gong, Xiao-Li; Liu, Xi-Hua; Xiong, Xiong - In: Pacific-Basin finance journal 55 (2019), pp. 95-109
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012169513
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Predicting the tail behavior of financial times stock exchange/Johannesburg Stock Exchange (FTSE/JSE) closing banking indices : extreme value theory approach
Makatjane, Katleho; Moroke, Ntebogang Dinah; Munapo, Elias - In: Handbook of research on emerging theories, models, and …, (pp. 31-64). 2021
The incidence of rare but extreme events appears to be significant in worldwide financial markets. In this chapter we apply extreme value theory (EVT) distributions to predict extreme losses of five South African (SA) financial times stock exchange/Johannesburg Stock Exchange (FTSE/JSE) closing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012604174
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Predicting extreme daily regime shifts in financial time series exchange/Johannesburg stock exchange : all share index
Makatjane, Katleho; Moroke, Ntebogang Dinah - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 9 (2021) 2, pp. 1-18
be no further losses. Using the seven statistical loss functions, the estimated SARIMA(2,1,0)×(2,1,0)240-MS(2)-EGARCH(1 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012508859
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Dynamic bivariate peak over threshold model for joint tail risk dynamics of financial markets
Zhao, Zifeng - In: Journal of business & economic statistics : JBES ; a … 39 (2021) 4, pp. 892-906
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012653200