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volatility to evaluate the sign and size of uncertainty shocks. The authors use a nonlinear DSGE model to gain deeper insights … monetary policy uncertainty into South Africa using a stochastic volatility model and a nonlinear DSGE model. The results … a contemporaneous decrease. The DSGE model shows that the size of the uncertainty shock matters – high uncertainty can …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014864375
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011757456
We develop a VAR that allows the estimation of the impact of monetary policy shocks on volatility. Estimates for the US suggest that an increase in the policy rate by 1% is associated with a rise in unemployment and inflation volatility of about 15%. Using a New Keynesian model, with search and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011928806
We use a simple New Keynesian model, with firm specific capital, non-zero steady-state inflation, long-run risks and Epstein-Zin preferences to study the volatility implications of a monetary policy shock. An unexpected increases in the policy rate by 150 basis points causes output and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011389786
We study the relationship between growth and variability in a DSGE model with nominal rigidities and growth driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005671092
We study the relationship between growth and variability in a DSGE model with nominal rigidities and growth driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005091061
We analyze the theoretical moments of a nonlinear approximation to real business cycle model with stochastic volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010487749
In this paper, we forecast energy market volatility using both univariate and multivariate GARCH-class models. First, we forecast volatilities of individual assets and find that multivariate models display better performance than univariate models. Second, we forecast crack spread volatility and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010587994
This paper analyses the implementation and calibration of the Heston Stochastic Volatility Model. We first explain how characteristic functions can be used to esti-mate option prices. Then we consider the implementation of the Heston model, showing that relatively simple solutions can lead to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012868895
this article, we expand the methodology to price nonlinear derivatives written on realized variance. Particularly we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012899164