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effect indicators. This paper assesses instrumental variable (IV) estimation of the effect of a latent variable in a linear …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012025817
the rise in trend unemployment in Germany in the 1980s or for a possible rise in trend unemployment in the United States …This paper compares the aggregate effects of sectoral reallocation in the United States and Western Germany using a … stochastic volatility model of sectoral employment growth. Reallocative shocks have no effect on the natural rate of unemployment …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232258
measure construction and technology busts) have little effect on the natural rate of unemployment or on long run productivity … of unemployment and can count for a 0.5% rise in cyclical unemployment from 2007 through the end of 2009 and 0.3% through … the beginning of 2011. -- Mismatch ; sectoral shifts ; reallocation ; natural rate ; unemployment ; Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232259
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This paper investigates how the conditional quantiles of future returns and volatility of financial assets vary with various measures of ex-post variation in asset prices as well as option-implied volatility. We work in the exible quantile regression framework and rely on recently developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010407475
introduce a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) estimation algorithm, we transform the model so that the outcome equation … practical usefulness of our proposed model and estimation method by using the price returns of residential properties in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012900218
The slope of the implied volatility term structure is positively related to future option returns. We rank firms based on the slope of the volatility term structure and analyze the returns for straddle portfolios. Straddle portfolios with high slopes of the volatility term structure outperform...
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