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Trading while sleepy? : circadian mismatch and excess volatility in a global experimental asset market
Dickinson, David L.; Chaudhuri, Ananish; … - 2017
asset market bubbles occur in all sessions, but global markets had significantly more extreme and longer duration valuation … bubbles. Additionally, subjects at the most suboptimal times-of-day held significantly more asset shares in their portfolios …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011731909
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Stock price booms and expected capital gains
Adam, Klaus; Beutel, Johannes; Marcet, Albert - 2014
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market throughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490485
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Stock Price Booms and Expected Capital Gains
Adam, Klaus - 2015
The booms and busts in U.S. stock prices over the post-war period can to a large extent be explained by fluctuations in investors' subjective capital gains expectations. Survey measures of these expectations display excessive optimism at market peaks and excessive pessimism at market troughs....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013018988
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House Prices, Credit Growth, and Excess Volatility : Implications for Monetary and Macroprudential Policy
Gelain, Paolo - 2016
economic model that captures the links between asset prices, credit expansion, and real economic activity. Standard DSGE models … used to dampen the resulting excess volatility, including a direct response to house price growth or credit growth in the … to house price growth or credit growth can stabilize some economic variables, it can significantly magnify the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007544
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Does volatility matter? Expectations of price return and variability in an asset pricing experiment
Bottazzi, Giulio; Devetag, Giovanna; Pancotto, Francesca - 2009
We present results of an experiment on expectation formation in an asset market. Participants to our experiment must provide forecasts of the stock future return to computerized utility-maximizing investors, and are rewarded according to how well their forecasts perform in the market. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010328471
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Schadet oder nützt die Finanzspekulation mit Agrarrohstoffen? Ein Literaturüberblick zum aktuellen Stand der empirischen Forschung
Will, Matthias Georg; Prehn, Sören; Pies, Ingo; … - 2012
Dieser Literaturüberblick wertet 35 Forschungsarbeiten aus, die zwischen 2010 und 2012 veröffentlicht wurden und den Einfluss der Finanzspekulation auf die Agrarrohstoffmärkte empirisch untersuchen: Gemäß aktuellem Erkenntnisstand spricht wenig für die Auffassung, dass die Zunahme der...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011733840
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Does volatility matter? : expectations of price return and variability in an asset pricing experiment
Bottazzi, Giulio; Devetag, Giovanna; Pancotto, Francesca - 2009
We present results of an experiment on expectation formation in an asset market. Participants to our experiment must provide forecasts of the stock future return to computerized utility-maximizing investors, and are rewarded according to how well their forecasts perform in the market. In the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008732426
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Structural stochastic volatility in asset pricing dynamics : estimation and model contest
Franke, Reiner; Westerhoff, Frank H. - 2011
In the framework of small-scale agent-based financial market models, the paper starts out from the concept of structural stochastic volatility, which derives from different noise levels in the demand of fundamentalists and chartists and the time-varying market shares of the two groups. It...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009007642
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Network centrality and stock market volatility : the impact of communication topologies on prices
Hein, Oliver; Schwind, Michael; Spiwoks, Markus - In: Journal of finance and investment analysis 1 (2012) 1, pp. 199-232
We investigate the impact of agent communication networks on prices in an artificial stock market. Networks with different centralization measures are tested for their effect on the volatility of prices. Trading strategies diffuse through the different network topologies, mimetic contagion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009511655
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Herding, information cascades and volatility spillovers in futures markets
McAleer, Michael; Radalj, Kim - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784945