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In a seminal article, Samuelson (1965) [Samuelson, P. A. (1965), “Proof that properly anticipated prices fluctuate randomly,” Industrial Management Review 6, 41–49.] proposes the maturity effect that the volatility of futures prices should increase as futures contract approaches maturity....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013159663
Fine wine has become an attractive alternative asset class in recent decades. In our study, we take the market microstructural perspective and verify how innovations in trading infrastructure affect the fine wine market. More specifically, we examine the average prices and the return volatility...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011993032
In his seminal article, Samuelson (1965) proposes the maturity effect that volatility of futures prices should increase as futures contract approaches expiration. This study provides new evidence on the maturity effect by examining a more extensive set of futures contracts over longer period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005628170
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009724826
In this study, I apply a quantile regression model to investigate how gold returns respond to changes in various financial indicators. The model quantifies the asymmetric response of gold return in the tails of the distribution based on weekly data over the past 30 years. I conducted a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022330
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We consider demand function competition with a finite number of agents and private information. We show that any degree of market power can arise in the unique equilibrium under an information structure that is arbitrarily close to complete information. In particular, regardless of the number...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012862865
I employ a parsimonious model with learning but without conditioning information to extract time-varying measures of market-risk sensitivities, pricing errors and pricing uncertainty. Parameters estimated for U.S. equity portfolios show significant fluctuations, along patterns that change across...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013150448
Derivatives on the Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) have gained significant popularity over the last decade. The pricing of VIX derivatives involves evaluating the square root of the expected realised variance which cannot be computed by direct Monte Carlo methods. Least...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012980091
The paper proposes a new robust estimator for GARCH-type models: the nonlinear iterative least squares (NL-ILS). This estimator is especially useful on specifications where errors have some degree of dependence over time (weak-GARCH) or when the conditional variance is misspecified. I illustrate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012928873