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We suggest that the term structure of volatility futures (e.g. VIX futures) shows a clear pattern of dependence on the current level of VIX index. At the low level of VIX (below 20) the term structure is highly upward sloping; at the high VIX level (over 30) it is strongly downward sloping. We...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013046744
I examine the market, volatility and joint timing performance of US equity funds (locals) versus UK equity funds …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013148875
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236684
forecasting performance of two competing conditional volatility specifications: GARCH(1,1) and MS-GARCH(1,1). The work employs … January 1999 - October 2010 period. The forecasting precision measure employed evidences superior forecasting performance of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013129198
The fairly new VIX ETPs have been promoted for providing effective and easily accessible diversification, while at the same time having large negative returns. We examine the economic value of using VIX ETPs for diversification of stock-bond portfolios. Our analysis begins in 2009, when the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012847829
Over the last decade foreign bond portfolio positions in US dollar assets have risen above the reciprocal US investor positions in foreign currencies. In periods of increased economic uncertainty, institutional investors hedge their international bond positions, which creates a net hedging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013440410
The stochastic volatility model usually incorporates asymmetric effects by introducing the negative correlation between the innovations in returns and volatility. In this paper, we propose a new asymmetric stochastic volatility model based on leverage and size effects. The model is a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014204500
Several methods have recently been proposed in the ultra high frequency financial literature to remove the effects of microstructure noise and to obtain consistent estimates of the integrated volatility (IV) as a measure of ex-post daily volatility. Even bias-corrected and consistent (modified)...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156240
A wide variety of conditional and stochastic variance models has been used to estimate latent volatility (or risk). In both the conditional and stochastic volatility literature, there has been some confusion between the definitions of asymmetry and leverage. In this paper, we first show the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013156686
) forecast performance. We analyse Swiss and US stock and bond data and find that optimal lookback window sizes exist, contrary …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014236566