In this study, volatility of sock return behavior through a regime-Switching Asymmetric Power GARCH Model (RS-APGARCH) analyses in Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE), Turkey, during the period of 1988-2006 and show that ISE's asymmetric response and the intensity of this response to good and/or bad...

We develop an empirically highly accurate discrete-time daily stochastic volatility model that explicitly distinguishes between the jump and continuous time components of price movements using nonparametric realized variation and Bipower variation measures constructed from high-frequency...

In this paper we examine the Heston model in the limit of infinitely fast mean-reversion for the stochastic volatility process (CIR). We show that, under an appropriate scaling of the model parameters, the two-factor stochastic volatility Heston model can be exactly mapped to a one-factor...

I examine the relative information roles among West Texas Intermediate spot crude price and four futures contracts (F1 through F4) with different maturities. Using a cointegrated system with a non-unitary cointegrating vector, I address price discovery by investigating which price is more...

In this paper, we present advanced analytical formulas for SABR model option pricing. The first technical result consists of a new exact formula for the zero correlation case. This closed form is a simple 2D integration of elementary functions, particularly attractive for numerical...

Stochastic volatility models are widely used in interest rate modeling to match the option smiles -- the two most popular are the Heston model and the SABR one. These have been incorporated into arbitrage-free term structure frameworks, Heston-LMM and SABR-LMM respectively.In this paper we...

If the creditworthiness of a counterparty is a derivative of a commodity price, there is the potential to have right- or wrong-way exposures in respective commodity transaction. Identifying them is important, because otherwise credit costs might be inadequately calculated and wrong incentives...

We suggest a new way of setting up multifactor models with hidden variables. We claim that the standard initial condition, which assigns some fixed value to the stochastic volatility subprocess, is illogical and greatly underestimates the effect of the hidden variable. For instance, a stochastic...

In the current low-interest-rate environment, extending option models to negative rates has become an important issue. In our previous paper, we introduced the Free SABR model, which is a natural and an attractive extension to the classical SABR model. In spite of its advantages over the Shifted...

Leveraging Wall Street Journal news, recent developments in textual analysis, and generative AI, we estimate a narrative decomposition of the dollar exchange rate. Our findings shed light on the connection between economic fundamentals and the exchange rate, as well as on its absence. From the...